Chelsea and Tottenham will be looking to get 2015 off to the best possible start when they collide at White Hart Lane on New Year’s Day.
Jose Mourinho’s men are sitting pretty at the top of the Premier League table, but their away form – two wins out of their last five – will give Spurs fans a glimmer of hope, even though their own record at home (L-W-D-W-D) is a mixed bag in itself.
Perhaps the main reason these two teams are experiencing patchy form are their corresponding goal margins. At home Tottenham have an average margin of +0.1, which is a lot less than you’d expect for a team on their own soil who have Champions League ambitions.
Similarly Chelsea’s margin is +0.8, which is positive of course but perhaps not as dominant as you’d expect from the league leaders.
On top of this, Tottenham have scored an average of 1.1 goals per game at White Hart Lane, and conceded an average of 1. On their travels Chelsea have scored an average of 1.9 and conceded 1.1.
For these reasons, a scoreline of Tottenham 1 v 2 Chelsea is well worth a look at 15/2.
In the Under/Over 2.5 goals market, Tottenham are 40% Under and 60% Over, while Chelsea are at 50% for both. You can back the Over 2.5 Goals from 19/20.
There’s not much to write home about in the Corners market:
Tottenham: average for 6.5, average against 5.6 (average margin +0.9)
Chelsea: average for 5.3, average against 5.1 (average margin +0.2)
Tottenham: Under 10.5 = 40%, Over 10.5 = 60%.
Chelsea: Under 10.5 = 50%, Over 10.5 = 50%.
So as you can see, there’s not really any clear evidence either way. It might be prudent to favour the Over 10.5 market, but certainly don’t lump on.
There’s a lot more clarity in the Cards market though fortunately, with both of these sides no strangers to sticking the boot in:
Tottenham: average for 20.5, average against 18
Chelsea: average for 32, average against 35
Under 35.5/Over 35.5 Points
Tottenham: Under 35.5 = 40%, Over 35.5 = 60%.
Chelsea: Under 35.5 = 20%, Over 35.5 = 80%.
These are the kind of stats punters like to see. Over 35.5 Points in this one looks like a dead cert.
On their own manor, Tottenham do struggle to find the net, and it’s their midfielders that seem to do most of the damage. Nacer Chadli (9/1 first or last, 13/5 anytime) has netted three times at White Hart Lane this season, with Christian Eriksen (9/1 first or last, 13/5 anytime) also troubling the scoreboard twice. Man of the minute Harry Kane is likely to start up front, and you can back him from 13/2 to find the net.
Chelsea like to spread the goals around when they play away, with no less than eleven scorers so far in the 2014/15 campaign. Diego Costa (7/2 first or last, 19/20 anytime), as ever, is the main man, netting four goals; with two of those being the last of the game.
And Cesc Fabregas, as a former Arsenal man, would love to stick one in the onion bag against Spurs: and you can back him from 9/1 to do just that.
Get the best sign up bonus here, at Bet365.