Men’s tennis: ATP update – Murray leads charge in final Race to London places

With only two weeks left to fill the final places for the WTF season showpiece event at the O2 arena in London, Andy Murray has forced his way into the top eight with victory in Vienna.

The Scot defeated rival David Ferrer to claim his second tour title in a month and has already made it to the quarter finals of the Valencia Open event this week. Murray is now in pole position after seventh-placed Tomas Berdych crashed out to Pablo Andujar on day one in Valencia.

The Czech travelled to Spain on a high after securing the IF Stockholm Open title on Sunday but was unable to carry his form into the 500 event. This gives Murray a great chance of breaking into the top five if he can continue his winning form with victory in Spain.

There are just three places left for the London event as Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer, Stan Wawrinka and Marin Cilic are all already guaranteed to finish in the top eight. Kei Nishikori looks certain to take one of those places leaving just two spots up for grabs.

With Grigor Dimitrov lagging behind, it looks like a straight battle between Murray, Ferrer and Raonic for the final two places with Murray the favourite to feature at the O2 in November. Raonic is playing at the Swiss 500 tournament in Basel and has already made it to the quarter-finals. He started the week just 25 points behind Ferrer and will need to overtake the Spaniard to book a ticket for the World Tour Finals.

Raonic slipped out of the top eight after retiring injured in Shanghai and then falling at the first hurdle in Moscow. He faces a potential semi-final clash with Rafa Nadal in Basel.

Once this weekend’s tournaments are concluded, all eyes will be on the Paris Masters as the Race to London goes down to the wire.

Njovak Djokovic is 11/8 favourite to lift the crown in London ahead of Roger Federer, who is currently 5/2. The bookies have taken notice of Murray’s recent form and he is now joint third favourite with Rafa Nadal at 11/2. The British player has only been back in action for 10 months after four months out after back surgery and seems to be finding form at just the right time.

Men’s tennis: ATP update – Murray leads charge in final Race to London placesunratedNeil2014-10-24 01:56:21With only two weeks left to fill the final places for the WTF season showpiece event at the O2 arena in London, Andy Murray has forced his way into th…
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Barclays Premier League: over 2.5 goal betting – Oct 25-27

This weekend is the ninth round of Premier League action so let’s take a look at the pick of the goal betting opportunities.

West Ham United and Manchester City will get things underway in the early kick-off game that takes place at the Boleyn Ground in East London on Saturday. The Hammers are in a good run of form at the moment; sitting fourth in the table and averaging 1.5 goals per game at home. Their opponents are currently second in the league but may still be recovering from a mid-week trip to Russia where they played another disappointing Champions League game.

Pellegrini’s team have managed to score 2.5 goals per away game this season and concede an average of one per game. As a result, this games ranks highly as a contender in the over 2.5 goals market. Combine this with a City win at 11/10 with Paddy Power; or both teams to score at 20/21 with Bet365.

The next game that stands out is the clash between Southampton and Stoke City at St. Mary’s Stadium. The stats may have been bloated by the Saints 8-0 demolition of Sunderland last week but Ronald Koeman’s men are certainly full of confidence in front of goal. They have an average goal strike of 2 per home game while opponents Stoke have managed to net an average of 1.3 goals on their travels. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 10/11 in this game with Paddy Power or Coral.

West Brom have a good home scoring strike rate this season with an average of 2 per game. Their opponents this weekend are Neil Warnock’s Crystal Palace who also have an impressive ratio of 1.8 per away game. Those are good stats in anyone’s book and make this game another over 2.5 goal candidate. This one is currently available at evens with several bookies.

The most eye-catching game of the weekend for the neutrals will take place at Old Trafford where Lois van Gaal’s Manchester United team host the current league pace-setters Chelsea. United are still lagging behind the top four but have managed to score 2.3 goals per game at home. Chelsea can boat an even more impressive average of 3.3 goals scored per away match. Both teams have injury concerns with United waiting for news on the fitness of Angel Di Maria and Jose Mourinho likely to be without top scorer Diego Costa. The Blues will also be hoping that Loic Remy, André Schürrle and Ramires can recover in time. Coral will give you 4/5 on over 2.5 goals in this game.

Over 2.5 goals:

West Ham United v Manchester City

Southampton v Stoke City

WBA v Crystal Palace

Manchester United v Chelsea

Barclays Premier League: over 2.5 goal betting – Oct 25-27unratedNeil2014-10-24 01:59:24This weekend is the ninth round of Premier League action so let’s take a look at the pick of the goal betting opportunities.

West Ham United and Ma…

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Champions League preview: Liverpool v Real Madrid – Wednesday, 22 October

The Champions League returns this week with two of European footballs most decorated teams going head to head. Five-time winners Liverpool will welcome ten-time champions Real Madrid to Anfield in what promises to be another great European night on Merseyside.

On the face of it, this game looks to be rather one-sided with the Spanish side enjoying a decent run of form while Liverpool have stumbled disappointingly out of the blocks this season. But this is European football; and this is Anfield: There have been some dramatic results in this stadium over the years and these big home games seem to bring out the best in the Reds.

Madrid will be without the world’s most expensive footballer as Gareth Bale is set to miss out through injury but they still have an impressive line-up of world class talent at their disposal. Ronaldo has already bagged an incredible 17 goals in the league and Europe this season which is in stark contrast to Liverpool striker Mario Balotelli who has managed just one. Brendan Rodgers will still be without Daniel Sturridge, who has had a setback in his recovery from injury, and will be hoping that some of his new signings can find form in this game.

Another worrying stat for Brendan Rodger’s team will be the fact that Los Blancos have scored a total of 37 goals this season with 19 of those being scored away. That is an average of 3.8 goals per away game in all competitions. Liverpool have managed just 16 goals all season – which is less than Ronaldo. Combine this with the fact that Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet at Anfield this year and things do not look great for the home team.

However, Liverpool do have history on their side and will be boosted by the fact that Real Madrid have never beaten them or scored a goal against them in their previous meetings. On their last visit to Anfield, the Spanish giants were cut down to size after being humiliated 4-0 by a Liverpool team coached by Rafa Benitez. It is for this reason that Real Madrid may approach this game with more caution than usual and employ a counter-attacking approach. The absence of Karim Benzema could also offer a glimmer of hope to the team in red.

The stats point to a Madrid win but the bookies will not do you any favours with the price. To find any value, a braver approach is needed and with Madrid already coasting in this group and a meeting against Barcelona looming on Saturday, they may just be happy to take a draw from Merseyside.

Match prediction: Draw 31/10 with Boylesports

Champions League preview: Liverpool v Real Madrid – Wednesday, 22 OctoberunratedNeil2014-10-21 02:19:52The Champions League returns this week with two of European footballs most decorated teams going head to head. Five-time winners Liverpool will welcom…
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Barclays Premier League 18 -20 October – Corner and goal betting round-up

As we enter week 8 of the Premier League season, the sample size for data increases and we start to see some clear patterns emerging.

If we apply the statistics for corners (won and conceded) and goals scored (for and against) to this weekend’s games, we may find some opportunities worth backing.

Corner betting

If you are a fan of the corner betting markets, there a couple of games that stand out. First up is the Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur match. Here, the stats tell us that the home side win an average of 10.3 corners per game at the Etihad and the away side win an average of 5 corners on the road. Therefore, this game has a very high chance of producing over 10.5 corners. The Sky Blues concede an average of 4.3 corners at home, so a corner count of over 14 is very likely.

Another game with a chance of a high corner count is Arsenal vs Hull City. The Londoners win an average of 8 corners at home while the Tigers win an average of 6 corners per away game. Both teams are good at restricting the number of opposition corners but this game should still break the 10.5 corner count.

There are also a couple of games that may be lacking when it comes to corners. Southampton will take on Sunderland at St. Marys and both teams have struggled when it comes to corners so far this season. The Saints win an average of just 4 corners per home game while Sunderland only manage to notch up a tally of 3.3 on their travels. This game has a very high possibility of a producing fewer than 10.5 corners with the final figure likely to be below 9.

Stoke vs Swansea also stands out as a low corner game with the home side averaging 5.7 per game and the away team averaging a pitiful total of just 1.7. Stoke have conceded quite a few corners at home but Swansea are the worst in the league by a distance when it comes to winning corners. Expect a corner count of below 10 in this game.

Goal betting

The goal betting statistics are also starting to reveal some trends and there a couple of games worth looking at this weekend.

Arsenal vs Hull is once again in the spotlight as we look at the over 2.5 goals market. Home games involving the Gunners have averaged 3 goals per match and Hull’s away games have produced an average of 2.7. Arsenal score an average of 1.7 at home and Hull have managed to net an average of 1.3 pr away game. This game has a good chance of producing over 2.5 goals.

Aston Villa will travel to Goodison Park to face Everton on Saturday with Paul Lambert’s men hoping that the Toffees continue their generous habit of shipping goals at home. Visitors to the blue half of Merseyside have scored an average of 3.7 goals per game this season and Everton themselves have averaged 2.3 per home match – making a total average of 6 per game. Even if Villa only manage to score their current away average of 0.7, this game still has a decent chance of producing over 2.5 goals.

The third standout game in the over 2.5 market is West Bromwich Albion against Manchester United. On average, the Baggies have netted twice per home game this term while United have a decent return of 1.3 per away game. With an average total goal count of 3.3 for both teams in their respective home and away games, a goal count of over 2.5 looks like a decent bet.

If you are looking for a game that will have a low goal count, look no further than Stoke vs Swansea. The Potters have recorded an average of just 0.3 goals per game at home this season compared to Swansea’s 1.3 on the road. Stoke are pretty tight at conceding at home too (an average of 0.7), so this one should be considered for under 2.5 goal bets.

Barclays Premier League 18 -20 October – Corner and goal betting round-upunratedNeil2014-10-16 09:23:35As we enter week 8 of the Premier League season, the sample size for data increases and we start to see some clear patterns emerging.

If we apply t…

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Premier League – Arsenal v Hull, match preview Saturday 18 October 2014

Premier League – Match preview Saturday 18 October 2014
15:00 Arsenal v Hull – Emirates Stadium
Arsenal and Hull sit just a point apart in the Premier League table with both teams having won just one of their last six matches. This game catches the eye from a betting point of view due to three standout statistics.  Full goal, corner and form stats can be found at the end of the post.

Firstly, this game rates highly for those interested in the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market. This bet has paid out in 100% of the Gunners home games so far and in 66.7% of Hull City’s away games. This can be taken as a standalone bet at evens with William Hill or added to your an accumulator.
In the goals market, home games involving Arsenal and away games featuring Hull have both have a 66.7% chance of finishing with over 2.5 goals. You can back the combination of both teams to score and over 2.5 goals at 6/5 with Bets365.
In the corners market Arsenal are likely to come out on top with an average home corner dominance of +4.3 compared to Hull’s away figure of +1. For handicap and spreads, back Arsenal to have corner supremacy statistics of over +2.
For the overall result, the home win looks like the most favourable result. Arsenal have only played three home games so far: a 1-1 draw against rivals Tottenham, a 2-2 draw against current champions Man City and a win against Crystal Palace. Hull won away at struggling QPR, drew at third-from-bottom Newcastle but lost away at Aston Villa.

Arsenal vs Hull goal and corner bets

Premier League – Arsenal v Hull, match preview Saturday 18 October 2014unratedEditor2014-10-14 03:58:58Premier League – Match preview Saturday 18 October 2014
15:00 Arsenal v Hull – Emirates Stadium
Arsenal and Hull sit just a point apart in the Premi…
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