Barclays Premier League football today

Where? Sky Sports

When? Sun 20 Apr 2014 12:00

Norwich v Liverpool, Carrow Road, showing on Sky Sports 1 HD

Referee: Andre Marriner

With just four games to go in the Premier League season, all eyes are on pace setters Liverpool. If the Reds win all of their remaining games, they will be crowned league champions for the first time in 24 years.

Next up for Brendan Rodgers and his team is a trip to struggling Norwich. While Liverpool are tantalisingly close to the title, the Canaries are perilously close the relegation zone and a defeat this weekend could see them drop into the bottom three if other results do not go their way.

The statistics do not look promising for Norwich. Liverpool has scored five goals in each their last three meetings and Luis Suarez has scored a total of 11 goals including three hat-tricks in the last four games against them. Norwich have not beaten the Merseyside club in the league since 1994.

Liverpool have won their last 10 Premier League games in a row and are unbeaten in 2014. During the same period Norwich have won three, drawn four and lost eight. The Norfolk club also have an inexperienced manager at the helm after dismissing Chris Hughton two weeks ago.

Despite their poor form, Norwich did go six home games unbeaten prior to the 0-1 defeat to West Brom a fortnight ago. That run included a win over Spurs and a goalless draw with Manchester City and Brendan Rodgers will be fully aware of the danger that a relegation-threatened team can pose.

Home games involving Norwich have an average of 11.4 corners and away games involving Liverpool have an average of 10.5. The balance is therefore in favour of over 10.5 in the corner betting market for this match.

Norwich are the league’s lowest scorers but Liverpool are the highest. Regardless of what Norwich do, Liverpool can be expected to push this goal tally over the 2.5 benchmark as their away game average is 2.5 for and 1.6 against. And of course, Luis Suarez loves to score against Norwich. For another goal betting option, back Suarez to score anytime at 4/6 with Betfair.

Match prediction

Barclays Premier League football todayunratedEditor2014-04-20 13:34:12Where? Sky Sports

When? Sun 20 Apr 2014 12:00

Norwich v Liverpool, Carrow Road, showing on Sky Sports 1 HD

Referee: Andre Marriner

With ju…

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Goals galore betting guide and tips

Both Teams to score

Backing both teams to score (BTTS) in a match has become a very popular way of betting and many bookmakers now offer special bets and coupons for this market.

Sometimes known as Goals Galore, these bets are a fun way of retaining interest in a game right until the final whistle. Even if a team is losing 4-0, you can still be a winner with a late consolation goal. As long as both teams score at some point then the bet will pay out making these bets an entertaining option for punters of all levels.

So, which teams should you back in this market and are there certain trends across the different leagues?

If we start with the Premier League, there are two teams that excel in this market: Fulham, when they are playing at home and Liverpool when they play away. Games involving these teams have a 70.6% strike rate in the BTTS market.

The Spanish first division provides even more options in this market with Sevilla leading the way. When the Andalucian team play at home, both teams score in 68.8% of their matches and when they play away this figure rises to 76.5%. Real Sociedad’s away games have a 68.8% chance of both teams scoring while Valencia and Villarreal both have a 70.6% strike rate when playing at home.

In the German Bundesliga, Hoffenheim are the smart choice in this market with 86.7% of their home games and 73.3% of their away games resulting in both teams scoring. You can increase your chances of success by backing high percentage teams when they face each other. Other German teams to look out for are Augsburg (71.4% home), Freiburg (73.3% home), Leverkusen (73.3% home), Mainz (73.3% away), Nurnberg (73.3% away), Stuttgart (73.3% home and away) and Wolfsburg (73.3% away).

There are less options in the slightly more defensive world of Italian football but there a couple of Serie A teams to look out for – particularly when they face each other. Cagliari have a 70.6% record of both teams scoring when they play at home while Fiorentina have a slightly lower result at home of 68.8%. When Milan play away, 70.6% of their games pay out in the BTTS market.

A few teams from other leagues to look out for are Bristol City (71.4% home; 81% away), Brechin (81.8% home; 81.3% away), Dumbarton (75.8% home; 76.5% away), Arbroath (72.7% home; 81.3% away), Stenhousemuir (87.5% home), Grimsby (77.3% home), Albion Rovers (81.3% away), Stranraer (82.4% away) and Forest Green (77.3% away).

By looking at these percentages, you can increase your chances of winning when filling out you Goals Galore or BTTS coupons. Look particularly at teams with +70 percentages that are playing each other and remember to consider whether they are playing at home or away. A good recent example would be Fulham (70.6% home) at home to Liverpool (70.6% away); match result – Fulham 2-3 Liverpool.

Goals galore betting guide and tipsunratedEditor2014-04-17 14:01:19Both Teams to score

Backing both teams to score (BTTS) in a match has become a very popular way of betting and many bookmakers now offer special be…

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Unsure who to back at The Cheltenham Festival, why not ask the panel?

It’s that time of year and Cheltenham Festival is here. You like me may be unsure who’s hot and who’s not this year at the festival.  The horses racing at Cheltenham, the race cource and the event as a whole has shown time and again that it is suited to form analyis.  Expert observers of the event have been successful in the past with getting tips right and helping punters profit from Cheltenham Festival.

Secret Betting Club (SBC) have assembled an expert panel to get inside the event and really unearth some great information, tips, and more.  The first race is on Champion Day on Tuesday 1st March.

Over to our partners at SBC.

The greatest racing festival of all is now just a few days away and to further whet the appetite ahead of the start of Cheltenham this Tuesday, the guys over at the Secret Betting Club have brought together a panel of 4 of the shrewdest racing brains to get their take on some key Cheltenham questions.

Fielding their questions were 4 times Racing Post naps champion and Easyodds columnist – Paul Jacobs, top racing writer and owner of the geegeez website – Matt Bisogno, SBC’s very own racing expert – Scott Armstrong and the highly-rated racing tipster – Rob from Pounds to Punters.

Below you can find out their 3 best bets for Cheltenham, their ‘darkhorses’ to watch, the short-priced runners they want to take on and much more besides…

Download Your Free Cheltenham Profit Pack

Each of these 4 experts have also contributed to the Secret Betting Club’s 74-page Cheltenham 2014 Profit Pack, which is yours to download FREE.

Simply pop your email address in the form on that page and they will send you a free copy of the Cheltenham Profit Pack immediately in return.

There is no catch – it’s just simple, free and most of all effective advice!

SBC: What race are you most looking forward to watching at Cheltenham this year and why?

Paul: Gold Cup – Purely because I was mesmerised by the way Bobs Worth came home after side stepping Silviniaco Conti. I was also cheering for my life (or should that be for my VAT payment), having backed him at 20/1 to win both the Hennessy and the Gold Cup. Such a brave and genuine horse.

Matt: The Cross Country, because I have my main bet of the week running. And it’s a great spectacle despite what the ‘purists’ may say.

Scott: The Champion Hurdle is a fascinating contest with the young guard – The New One, Our Conor and My Tent Or Yours taking on the old guard in the form of Hurricane Fly.

Rob: The race I’m looking forward to most this year is the Champion Hurdle on day 1. It looks like it will be electric with both Hurricane Fly and The New One fighting it out for favouritism but I’ll be taking them both on with My Tent Or Yours. My Tent Or Yours has already won two Grade One races this season. Perhaps a little fortunate beating The New One in the Christmas Hurdle after his rival messed up at the second last but I will take the chance and as long as he turns up fit I think he will go close.

SBC: If you could name your top 3 bets to watch out for at Cheltenham this year, who would they be and why?

Scott: Annie Power to win the World Hurdle is my banker bet secured at 5-2. Horses don’t often come back with the same panache after a tendon injury which will make life tough for Big Bucks. Throw in Annie Power’s 7lb mares allowance and the fact I don’t see the step up in trip being an issue and she becomes a very good bet. Red Sherlock I have backed in the Neptune Novices Hurdle each-way at 6-1. I believe this is a horse with a big future and despite having “swished” his tail in races he is a gutsy sort who’s resolution cannot be questioned. Indian Castle would be my third pick at current best odds of 6-1. The step up in trip looks sure to suit and the horse is Donald McCain’s best chance of the week.

Rob: My 3 best bets for the festival are – Corrin Wood who is likely to run in the RSA. He is an improving young horse who is unbeaten in 3 races over fences this season and you can’t help but be impressed by his win at Catterick back in December. I really fancy Goodwood Mirage for the Fred Winter, he hampered his chances by continually jumping left at the hurdles over Kempton last month so I would like to think the Cheltenham track will suit and finally My Tent Or Yours to win the Champion Hurdle.

Matt: My three are:

Big Shu – very good horse who can carry the weight in the Cross Country.

Quevega – story horse and a very strong stayer (would have won further last year but for being hampered).

Bobs Worth and Silviniaco Conti ‘coupled’ in the Gold Cup – they’re around 8/11 the pair, and I simply can’t see anything beating both of them.

Paul: My three to back would be:

Raya Star in the Grand Annual – the drying ground is perfect and although he has enough weight Alan King’s charge simply oozes class.

Harbour Court in the Foxhunters – This really is the new kid on the block. Again the drying ground is a positive for a horse with speed as well as stamina running against, in the main, plodders.

Bobs Worth in the Gold Cup – It’s a weak renewal and back on ‘home territory’ he will surely have too much up the hill for Conti…..who to my mind, against popular opinion took a tired fall last year.

SBC: Do you fancy any horses that might go off at big prices that we should keep an eye on? Perhaps there are 1 or 2 who might have gone under the radar so far and could be teed up for a big Cheltenham coup!

Matt: I’ve backed loads at prices, but it’s always the way that the ones I mention won’t win. Anyway, Caveat Emptor, Carlingford Lough and Many Clouds in the RSA; and Space Ship if he gets a run in the Fred Winter (crying out for good ground, rated 94 on the level).

Scott: I like Caid Du Berlais in the Martin Pipe conditionals handicap hurdle. The Pipe’s will of course target this race but the step up to 2m4f will suit Paul Nicholls’ Caid Du Berlais. The talented Harry Derham takes the ride and there’s confidence within the yard.

Rob: One that I fancy and is sure to be overlooked at the Festival is Baby Mix in the Rewards4Racing Novices’ Handicap Chase. He is in great form this season and looks to have matured and improved since joining the Warren Greatrex yard, Davy Russell is also booked and I think at 20/1 its worth taking an each way punt.

Paul: See my ‘value bets’ piece on the Easyodds site …although I have to say I am dumbfounded by the decision to send Module for the Queen Mother rather than the Ryanair. I can see Cause for Causes being a big mover if he runs in the Baylis and Harding and ending up favourite for that race.

SBC: How about a short-priced horse to take on? Are there any you just don’t fancy at skinny odds?

Rob: I personally believe Quevega is worth taking on at 4/6 in the Mares Hurdle. You have to respect Quevega for obvious reasons, she will be going for her sixth consecutive win in the contest and she’s a legend – there is no disputing that. However, this year I’ll be backing Sirene D’Ainay each way as she looks to be a massive each way alternative at 10/1 against the red hot favourite. Sirene D’Ainay finished second in the race last year after getting caught in the last 100 yards and I don’t see why she won’t go close again.

Will she spoil Quevegas party? or will I be made to look like an idiot?.. we will see next week.

Paul: I will be taking on Ruby Walsh for top festival jockey – as the investment firms suggest past performances are no guide to future profitability and ‘in-running’ there is plenty of value further down the list especially if Vautour doesn’t win the opener.

Matt: I’d be hopeful that fielding against the Mullins novice favourites (Faugheen, Vautour, Champagne Fever, etc) would yield a small profit. But I prefer to back a couple against them.

Scott: Not so much one I don’t fancy but of the favourites, Sire De Grugy would be the one I’d take on with the track not playing to the horses strengths.

Cheltenham Festival Q&A

Unsure who to back at The Cheltenham Festival, why not ask the panel?unratedEditor2014-03-10 13:54:02It’s that time of year and Cheltenham Festival is here. You like me may be unsure who’s hot and who’s not this year at the festival.  The horses raci…
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Barclays Premiership weekend preview

Saturday/Sunday 1-2 March 2014

Saturday 15:00 – Everton v West Ham (Goodison Park) Referee: Jonathan Moss

It is the corner betting statistics that catch the eye in this clash at Goodison Park. There is a very high chance of over 10.5 corners with 83.3% of Everton’s home games and 69.2% of West Ham’s away games producing this result. Games at Goodison this season have an average of 11.3 corners per game and West Ham’s away games have an average of 12.5 corners, so expect a high corner count in this game. Everton can be expected to win the corner battle by a margin of at least +2. Over 10.5 corners – Everton +2 corner margin

15:00 – Fulham v Chelsea (Craven Cottage) Referee: Mark Clattenburg

This is another game with a good chance of over 10.5 corners. Fulham top the corner league with a combined average of 11.8 per game but this figure rises to 12.5 when just their home games are counted. Chelsea’s away games have an average of 11.1 corners per game. The corners should be evenly shared with around 6 each. Over 10.5 corner.

15:00 – Hull City v Newcastle (KC Stadium) Referee: Kevin Friend Look at the corner betting market again in this game but this time go for the under 10.5 market. Newcastle have the lowest corner count in the league with an average of just 8.4 per away game while Hull average just 9.6 corners per home game. As well as a low corner count in this game there is also a good chance of under 35.5 booking points with 69.2% of games involving both teams producing this outcome. Under 10.5 corners – Under 35.5 booking points.

Premiership goal tips

Barclays Premiership weekend previewunratedEditor2014-02-26 14:00:11Saturday/Sunday 1-2 March 2014

Saturday 15:00 – Everton v West Ham (Goodison Park) Referee: Jonathan Moss

It is the corner betting statistics th…

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Barlcays Premier League corner betting

Corner Betting Trends and Tips

When choosing to bet on football matches it is worth checking for current trends in the market you are exploring. This article will focus on the Premier League corner betting market.

The general benchmark for corners per game is 10.5 and you can bet on over or under this amount or you can explore the various spread betting options available. Bookmakers will also allow you to bet over or under on different corner values e.g. 7, 10, 13 etc.

The Premier League team with the lowest overall corner count is Newcastle. Home and away games involving the Geordies average just 9.6 corners per match. When this is broken down the stats reveal that a low average corner count of 8.4 in away games is the main cause of this low value. If we only look at home games then the figure is close to the benchmark at 10.6.

Only one team falls beneath the 10.5 benchmark for both home and away games and that is Arsenal. Home games involving the Gunners have an average of 10.2 corners and away games have an average of 9.5. Games involving Arsenal represent the best overall option when betting on under 10.5 corners but you must always take the opposition into consideration as well. So let’s do that now.

Corner betting

Barlcays Premier League corner betting unratedEditor2014-02-24 15:43:32Corner Betting Trends and Tips

When choosing to bet on football matches it is worth checking for current trends in the market you are exploring. …

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