10 essential premiership stats

10 money making stats for Sunday:

  • Chelsea v Everton
    Everton have kept 6 Clean Sheets in a row. Everton are 6/1 with Coral to keep a Clean Sheet at Stamford Bridge…
  • Liverpool v QPR
    Daniel Sturridge has scored more Goals (10) in his first 13 PL appearances for the club than any other Liverpool player. Sturridge is odds-on at 8/13 to score against QPR…
  • Man City v Norwich
    Man City have won 4 of their last 5 Home games ‘To Nil’. Man City are 6/4 at 888 Sport to beat Norwich ‘To Nil’… Mark Halsey, the ref, has a habbit of keeping his cards in his pocket.  Expect less than 4 cards. 
  • Newcastle v Arsenal
    Newcastle have won just 1 of their last 11 PL games against Arsenal (W1 D5 L5).Arsenal are a best-priced 8/13 at 888 Sport to beat Newcastle…
  • Southampton v Stoke
    Southampton have scored just 2 Goals in their last 5 games. Stoke have only scored 5 Goals in their last 10 PL Away games. Under 2.5 Goals is available at 8/11…
  • Swansea v Fulham
    11 of Dimitar Berbatov’s 14 PL Goals for Fulham have come before Half Time.Berbatov is 7/1 to be First Scorer on Sunday…  72% of Fulham’s Away games have gone Under 3.5 Cards this season.  Another under 4 card result expected here. 
  • Tottenham v Sunderland
    Tottenham have won 8 and lost just 1 of their last 12 PL Home games.Tottenham are 3/10 favourites to beat Sunderland…
  • West Brom v Man Utd
    Victory in this match would see Man Utd equal their best ever points haul from a PL season (91 in 1999/00). A farewell Away win for Sir Alex is 4/5… Man United have been very well behaved as Sir Alex departure looms.  Don’t expect many card here either. 
  • West Ham v Reading
    Reading have the worst Away record in the PL (losing 14 of 18) and are yet to keep a Clean Sheet. West Ham are 7/10 to beat Reading…
  • Wigan v Aston Villa
    Over 2.5 Goals bets have paid out in 78% of Wigan’s Home games this season.Over 2.5 Goals is available at 8/11…

The bookies haven’t priced up all their markets for the final day yet, but for Under 3.5 Cards bets check out Bet365.  Bet365 also offer a ‘no card’ bet. 

10 essential premiership statsunratedEditor2013-05-16 13:59:3610 money making stats for Sunday:Chelsea v EvertonEverton have kept 6 Clean Sheets in a row. Everton are 6/1 with Coral to keep a Clean Sheet at Sta…
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Essential stats for the all German Champions League Final 2013

An all German final is here.  Both Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich had a nearly impossible lead after their surprising first leg victories.   If anyone was expecting a Spanish inquisition in the 2nd legs would have been sorely disappointed.  Instead of an all all-La Liga final it was an all German final instead.  Odds of a Bundesliga final where worth 1365/1. 

At 1365/1 a bet on an all German Champions League final would have been worth a Euro of anyone’s money.  Granted you would have only got those odds at the start of the tournament, but, still that’s a nice return.  Both finalists top the Bundesliga and are set to battle for the title.  Bayern Munich have an impressive away record winning 18 out of the last 21 and loosing just 1.  Bayern scored in all their way games and kept a clean sheet in 15.  

Both team score an average of more than 2 goals per game and nearly 3 goals for Bayern.  Bayern also have the edge when it comes to goals conceded, letting less than half a goal per match. 

Our prediction; Bayern Munich to win the Champions League Final and both teams to score.  

Essential stats for the all German Champions League Final 2013unratedEditor2013-05-16 13:50:02An all German final is here.  Both Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich had a nearly impossible lead after their surprising first leg victories.   …
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Questions for an arbitrage trader…. fast track learning about arbitrage betting.

 Information about sports arbitrage can be patchy at best and likely many people will be deterred from giving sports arbitrage trading time.  It’s not easy but what in life ever is?  Answers on a postcard please.   In essence making sports arbitrage pay is a process of doing a relatively simple set of actions and repeating.  Small profits soon build up.  What starts slowly soon increases in a snow ball effect.  Failure is a result of not following the rules.  After reviewing sports arbitrage software  our reviewer came up with some questions he wished he could have asked a sports arbitrage trader years ago.  The answers he says would have helped fast track his learning and enable him to channel some of the ocean of sports betting money his way. 

Let’s start with the subject of bookmakers.

Do bookmakers limit arbitrage trader accounts?

Yes, most do. Often wrongly seen as the biggest hurdle to jump for sports arbitrage betting.  The key is to make your account activity look normal.  Like any casino out there, bookmaker don’t like people winning too much.  It is advisable to lose a random number of bets every so often.  If you have a winning streak of two or three it’s time to lose.  Just hedge the bet with a betting exchange to eliminate any loses or to ensure that they are small.  

Other ways to act like a normal punter’s is to avoid betting with maximum stakes and check if the bookmaker is owned by the same company.  Some bookies can have more than one website with different trading names. 

Here are more ways to make betting activity look normal.

1) Round the stake up or down to even 5′s. Instead of 233 make it 235.  

2) Do not bet on obvious palps.  This is a sure way of getting limited. Arbitrage bets with a return of more than 5% are waving a red flag that says “avoid this bet it’s a palp”.

3) Keep withdrawals to a minimum, say once a quarter. 

4) Betting on obscure low tier leagues from a foreign country will raise an eyebrow. 

Can bookmakers cancel bets?

Written into the bookmaker’s terms and conditions will be situations where bets can be made void.  Due to a palpable error, for instance, where they have reversed the odds.  This is known as a ‘palp’.  If the percentage return of an arbitrage bet looks too good to be true then it probably is.  Way’s to spot a bet that could be a ‘palp’ is to 

1) look out for odds that have obviously been reversed.

2) Watch if the odds seem just too high.  If it is too good to be true it probably is. 

3) Confirm the bet and odds with the bookmaker which is least likely to accept your bet.  For example, where the odds are most out of touch with the rest of the market.  Some bookies will only reveal the maximum stake when the bet is confirmed.  Stake size with the second bookie can be adjusted accordingly. 

If a bet is still made void by a bookmaker never leave the uncovered bet open.  Use a betting exchange to hedge the risk.  A small percentage loss will result but it’s a small price to pay to protect the uncovered bet. 

A bookmaker can still void a bet after the event.  This is uncommon but it does happen.  Best advice here is to stay in touch with other arbitrage traders and get up to date information about bookmakers known to do this.  Avoid these bookmakers.  

Sports arbitrage betting

Questions for an arbitrage trader…. fast track learning about arbitrage betting.unratedEditor2013-04-01 11:44:18 Information about sports arbitrage can be patchy at best and likely many people will be deterred from giving sports arbitrage trading time.  It’s n…
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Cheltenham course stats, trainers and jockeys to back and lay

The Cheltenham National Hunt Course is actually two courses, the old course and a new slightly longer course.  Both are left handed and the final half mile is steeply uphill with a one furlong run in.  Cheltenham also has a cross country course that runs around the centre of the normal race tracks.  Similar course include Hexham and Newcastle. 

Betting School has given given away the platinum trends system which has been tested over 10 years and produced average profit of 144 points per year.   We’ve read the free report which describes the type of track and gives course characteristics.  The free pdf shows how many points profit Platinum trends has produced for Cheltenham, Newmarket, and Southwell race tracks.   It’s not long now to one of the biggest betting events in the Calender.  That’s right Cheltenham Festival is nearly here. 

There is is some great information but some readers will needs a little more explanation of the course stats to back with and course stats to lay with.   Hot trainers and Jockeys tips for Cheltenham are easier to understand for the Layman. 

Cheltenham Festival

Cheltenham course stats, trainers and jockeys to back and layunratedEditor2013-03-05 13:45:47The Cheltenham National Hunt Course is actually two courses, the old course and a new slightly longer course.  Both are left handed and the final hal…
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Get top horse handicapping tips for Cheltenham Festival

Cheltenham Festival has a habit of hitting bookmakers hard.   It’s the favourites, they tend to win the Champion Hurdle.  History is certainly no guide to the future.  Read our horse handicapping tips to help prepare for Cheltenham  Festival.  If you prefer someone else do the hard work check out Secret Betting Club, who are publishing high quality tips, articles and systems for this year’s Cheltenham Festival races.  

Handicapping tips

(1) The Favorite (horse with the lowest odds at post) wins one out of three races (actual percentage is 35%).    

(2) The horse with second lowest odds (second favorite) wins about one out of five races (actual percentage 22%)

 (3) The horse with the third lowest odds wins one out of eight races (actual percentage 12%)

 (4) The three top favorites win 69% of all races. 

 (5) Fourth and fifth favorites account for 9% of the winners.

 (6) If the favorite is odds-on, that is less than even money, the winning percentage is 70%. This percentage goes even higher on muddy tracks.

 (7) Sprint races, six furloungs or less, produce a higher percentage of winning favorites, and muddy tracks show even a higher number of winning favorites.

Cheltenham Festival

Get top horse handicapping tips for Cheltenham FestivalunratedEditor2013-02-26 10:25:47Cheltenham Festival has a habit of hitting bookmakers hard.   It’s the favourites, they tend to win the Champion Hurdle.  History is certainly no gu…
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