2015 Asian Cup Quarter-final previews

With just eight teams left in the competition, the intensity is building at the 2015 Asian Cup in Australia. Incredibly, the 24 group stage matches did not produce a single draw; setting a new record in major tournament football. Despite the lack of stalemates, there were some very tight games in the group stages but ultimately, the quarter-final line-up has produced no real surprises. So let’s take a closer look at the contenders in the first knock-out matches of the tournament.

Korea Republic (evens) v Uzbekistan (4/1)

22 Jan 2015 – Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Korea Republic finished top of Group A thanks to a final game victory against hosts and pre-tournament favourites Australia. The win completed a hat-trick of 1-0 triumphs for Uli Stielike’s team who maintained their 100% record despite being hampered by injuries and illness during their campaign.

The Koreans will face an Uzbekistan side who were many people’s dark horses for the tournament. After a Group B defeat to China, Mirdjalal Kasimov’s team had to win their final match against three-time champions Saudi Arabia to secure a quarter-final berth. In the end, they progressed with a comfortable 3-1 score line thanks to 2 goals from Rashidov and a superb headed strike from Shodiev.

The unbeaten Koreans have big tournament pedigree and will be clear favourites for this clash. However, there is a further sub-plot to this game as Uzbekistan will be keen to exact revenge on the team that denied them a debut World Cup appearance in Brazil last summer. The heartbreak of missing out on goal difference is still lingering in the Uzbek camp and they have promised to everything they can to secure revenge. The price of 4/1 (5.0) should attract some interest.

China PR (11/2) v Australia (8/13)

22 Jan 2015 – Brisbane Stadium

After a blistering start to the tournament which included two four-goal hauls against Kuwait and Oman, Ange Postecoglou’s Socceroos were brought crashing down to earth by a well-organised Korea Republic side in Brisbane. The 1-0 defeat was by no means a disaster but it may have been a timely reminder of just how tough the tournament will be in the knock out stages. The Aussie Coach has yet to settle on a best XI, preferring instead to use the full depth of his squad. Whether this tactic will reap rewards remains to be seen.

Brisbane will be the venue once again as the Aussies take on Alain Perrin’s China PR side with a semi-final place up for grabs. Team Dragon remains unbeaten in this tournament after qualifying for the quarter-final stage with a game to spare. Wins over Uzbekistan, Saudi Arabia and DPR Korea confirmed China’s credentials as tournament contenders and they will provide another stern test for the host nation. The early price of 11/2 (6.5) certainly looks like great value.

Asian Cup preview

2015 Asian Cup Quarter-final previewsunratedNeil2015-01-27 12:54:26With just eight teams left in the competition, the intensity is building at the 2015 Asian Cup in Australia. Incredibly, the 24 group stage matches di…
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Who was the best bookmaker of 2014?

After the recent bout of bookie bashing at Let’s Compare Bets.com where the worst bookmakers of 2014 where revealed, today we are publishing who the members of Secret Betting Club voted the best.

How did they vote for the best bookmaker of 2014?

These are the bookmakers that either offer a high quality of service, welcome winners or simply put forward the best value odds.The results were compiled from both the public and SBC member votes received via a survey carried out in December 2014 – designed to build the ultimate list of the best bookmakers.

So without further ado, here are the results for the best bookmaker category as voted for by punters!

Best bookmaker of 2014
Table courtesy of Secret Betting Club.
Best bookmaker of 2014

Who was the best bookmaker of 2014?unratedEditor2015-01-18 13:54:14After the recent bout of bookie bashing at Let’s Compare Bets.com where the worst bookmakers of 2014 where revealed, today we are publishing who the m…
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Who are the worst bookmakers?

Voted for by members of Secret Betting Club and the betting public over the last 12 months.  Apparently this proved to be a very competitive category.  Bookmaker bashing has proven to be quite a popular pastime.

Not all bookmakers where created equal and the worst have been listed here.  The worst bookmaker of year awards have been judged on those offering poor value odds, shoddy customer service, or simply not allowing punters to get all their money on.

Worst bookie of the year table

Sure, not all bookmaker where created equal but we can not confirm if the worst was due more to poor odds or shoddy customer service.  The list is still quite revealing non the less.  For the full details you will need to visit Secret Betting Club.

Worst bookmaker of the year

Who are the worst bookmakers?unratedEditor2015-01-18 13:50:11Voted for by members of Secret Betting Club and the betting public over the last 12 months.  Apparently this proved to be a very competitive category…
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Both Teams to Score: Hot picks in the Goals Galore market

Predicting that both teams will score in a football match is a simple betting concept that has grown massively in popularity over recent years. As a result, it is worth looking at some statistics to see if there any trends in this market.

With half a season gone, it is a good time to see which football teams are regular offenders in this market and maybe worth backing. To do this, we will look across the top two tiers of all the European leagues to identify the teams with a strike rate of 80% or more either at home, away or combined.

First up, let’s look at the teams with a combined BTTS ratio of 80% or more for both their home and away games. These figures are regardless of opponent and only include league matches.

Both team to score – highest combined %

A.S. Cittadella (Italy, Serie B): 81.00%

Both teams have scored in 81% of the games involving this side from the second tier of Italian football. Citta have not won a game to nil all season and have only kept a clean sheet in 9% of their games. So far, they have conceded a goal in every home game and have failed to score in just 19% of all their games. Overall, they have paid out in the BTTS market in 17 out of their 21 games. Their percentage split is 80% for home games and 81.8% for away games.

Trapani Calcio (Italy, Serie B): 81.00%

Our second team is Sicilian side Trapani who also reside in Serie B. The Granata also have an overall 81% BTTS ratio but the percentage split is 90% for home games and 72.7% for away games. They have the proud record of scoring in every home game this season while only keeping one clean sheet.

Dundee (Scottish Premier League): 80.00%

Dundee are the only other team in Europe to have a combined BTTS ratio of 80% or higher. They have also scored in every home game this season but have only kept one clean sheet. It is at home where they excel with a 90% strike rate compared to a slightly less impressive 70% away from home. They have scored in all but one of their away games but have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games on the road.

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Both Teams to Score: Hot picks in the Goals Galore marketunratedNeil2015-01-13 10:28:04Predicting that both teams will score in a football match is a simple betting concept that has grown massively in popularity over recent years. As a r…
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Manchester City v Arsenal previews, forms, goal and more

Manchester City v Arsenal

Sunday 18th January, 16.00

Etihad Stadium 

The tastiest dish on this weekend’s Premier League menu sees Arsenal travel north to take on Manchester City.
A quick look at the history of fixtures between these two highlights two things: expect Man City to dominate – and there to be plenty of goals.
Why so? Well, in the last five fixtures between the pair there has been an incredible 19 goals – an average of nearly four per game. Although it has to be said that record has been skewed somewhat by the 6-3 goal fest these two enjoyed at the Etihad Stadium last season.

It’s Man City’s dominance over the Gunners on their home soil that is the most eye-catching slice of history. They’re unbeaten in five – winning three and drawing two, with Arsenal’s last victory at the Etihad coming way back in October 2010.

So let’s take a look at this season’s stats to see if we can expect Man City to thrive once again.
Form
It’s Man City’s home form in 2014/15 that has propelled them into contention for the title at the halfway point of the season. Their record in their last five games – W-W-W-D-W – shows that they mean business when on their own manor.
For Arsenal the polar opposite is true. Their recent away form – W-L-D-W-L – belies a side that is just three points from third place in the table.

Goals
The answer to the formbook lies in the comparative goals stats of the two sides:
Manchester City
Average goals per game: 2
Average goals against per game: 0.9
Under 2.5/Over 2.5: 40%/60%
Average margin: +1.1

Arsenal
Average goals per game: 1.5
Average goals against per game: 1.4
Under 2.5/Over 2.5: 45.5%/54.5%
Average margin: +0.1
Average time of first goal: Man City 41st minute, Arsenal 34th minute.
As you can see, it is Man City’s attacking prowess – and the Gunners’ relative defensive frailties on the road – that are likely to settle this one. It’s worth noting that that Manuel Pellegrini will be hampered by the loss of Yaya Toure to African Cup of Nations duty….although he is set to welcome back top scorer Sergio Aguero from injury.

Corners
Let’s take a closer look at the corners stats for the two sides:
Man City
Average corners for per game: 8.7
Average corners against per game: 4.4
Under 10.5/Over 10.5 corners: 20%/80%
Average total per game: 13.1
Average margin: +4.4

Arsenal
Average corners for per game: 6.1
Average corners against per game: 4.5
Under 10.5/Over 10.5 corners: 54.4%/45.5%
Average total per game: 10.6
Average margin: +1.5
Cards
Let’s take a closer look at the cards stats for the two sides:

Man City
Average card points for: 26.5
Average card points against: 24
Cards for: 23 yellow, 1 red
Cards against: 18 yellow, 2 red
Under/Over 35.5 points: 40%/60%

Arsenal
Average card points for: 29.5
Average card points against: 27.7
Cards for: 29 yellow, 1 red
Cards against: 27 yellow, 1 red
Under/Over 35.5 points: 18.2%/81.8%

Man City v Arsenal tips

Manchester City v Arsenal previews, forms, goal and moreunratedEditor2015-01-13 04:45:37Manchester City v Arsenal

Sunday 18th January, 16.00

Etihad Stadium 

The tastiest dish on this weekend’s Premier League menu sees Arsenal …

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